Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.188192 0.217906 0.250769 0.289811 0.334938 0.385472 0.446375
2025-08-31 0.140161 0.179596 0.227757 0.290913 0.371602 0.471323 0.604090
2025-09-07 0.115575 0.158835 0.215414 0.294854 0.403625 0.547537 0.752810
2025-09-14 0.095703 0.139261 0.199504 0.288940 0.418519 0.599774 0.873281
2025-09-21 0.082021 0.125410 0.188396 0.286534 0.435860 0.655056 1.002357
2025-09-28 0.072648 0.116111 0.181996 0.289191 0.459608 0.720793 1.153112
2025-10-05 0.067708 0.112686 0.183617 0.303676 0.502347 0.819078 1.364704
2025-10-12 0.062569 0.108110 0.182607 0.313405 0.538027 0.909445 1.573403
2025-10-19 0.057779 0.103397 0.180618 0.320925 0.570390 0.997214 1.787117
2025-10-26 0.052885 0.097819 0.176379 0.323805 0.594649 1.073215 1.988291
2025-11-02 0.047658 0.090957 0.169011 0.320049 0.606278 1.127711 2.156152
2025-11-09 0.042177 0.082939 0.158593 0.309327 0.603560 1.155404 2.276483
2025-11-16 0.039492 0.080018 0.157464 0.316355 0.635846 1.252795 2.543830
2025-11-23 0.036375 0.075882 0.153560 0.317536 0.656914 1.331144 2.783368
2025-11-30 0.033948 0.072829 0.151391 0.321838 0.684528 1.424984 3.064687
2025-12-07 0.030724 0.067715 0.144449 0.315382 0.688958 1.471942 3.252786
2025-12-14 0.028213 0.063824 0.139597 0.312756 0.701105 1.535999 3.484648
2025-12-21 0.026430 0.061319 0.137411 0.315656 0.725555 1.628753 3.790349
2025-12-28 0.025814 0.061380 0.140828 0.331468 0.780678 1.794481 4.280656
2026-01-04 0.024829 0.060466 0.141946 0.342088 0.824987 1.940475 4.741622
2026-01-11 0.023741 0.059174 0.142046 0.350297 0.864478 2.079439 5.201618
2026-01-18 0.022405 0.057125 0.140143 0.353441 0.892049 2.193142 5.612753
2026-01-25 0.020748 0.054082 0.135519 0.349341 0.901236 2.263451 5.923192